Kika Nazareth

Kika Nazareth (86 Destined for Glory) is listed at 1,250,000 coins, but the last 9 completed sales cleared at a median of 1,020,000. That is a 23% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 23% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.7 sales an hour, with 5 buy-now listings on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 1,250,000, it sits near the bottom of its own recent range of 1,000,000 to 1,500,000 — 11% of the way up. That is the end of the range where the risk-to-reward on a hold is best, provided the card is not falling for a reason.